Picks From One Who Knows Not What or Why

Well now that the scratch of Casino Drive is final for today's Belmont Stakes in Elmont, NY, I'll make my picks.

Here's my projected order of finish.

1. Big Brown: This horse has shown absolutely no weaknesses against the fields presented to him. Today's field looks no more threatening. The only real foe is a horse named Arrogance.

2. Denis of Cork: Denis of Cork is an intriguing horse. With Calvin "Bo-rail" replaced, I think he may end up with a better trip. Wouldn't it be ironic if Robbie Albarado sends him to the rail to draft Big Brown around the track.

3. Ready's Echo: Johnny V knows how to ride in the Belmont. This horse has improved in every race. Will he improve enough to place ahead of Macho Again and Tale of Ekati? I'm guessing yes.

4. Macho Again: Fame can be fleeting. His last effort in The Preakness was excellent and driving, but as The Annoyed Handicapper points out, Big Brown was just jogging to the finish as Macho Again gained on him. I might reconsider this horse later in the afternoon in the post parade.

5. Tale of Ekati: I go back and forth on this horse. He could very well finish second, but somehow I think he will underachieve today.

6. Guadalcanal: It wouldn't surprise me to see this horse sneak into the money. He's an unknown that apparently was blessed by local doctors . The Belmont has a way of favoring the unknown and discounted.

7. Icabad Crane: His effort in The Preakness was excellent; however, I don't see him extending that to The Belmont. A mile and a half is a long, long way.

8. Anak Nakal: The horse that has most disappointed me this year has yet another opportunity to finish in the back of the pack.

9. Da'Tara: Having a front-running style does not serve anything except granting a stalking path for Big Brown. He should be used up before they turn for home.

~Newt